Friday, February 17, 2006

CNN/USAT/Gallup Poll

The latest polling data on the 2008 race comes from Gallup, and the results are fairly predictable:

Rudy Giuliani 33
John McCain 28
George Allen 7
Bill Frist 6

Why this poll is meaningless:
  1. It is really a benchmark for name ID.
  2. It is a nationwide poll of Republicans and "Lean" Republicans. Nationwide Republicans and "Leaners" do not select the nominee. Only registered Republicans who vote in pre-Super Tuesday primary states pick the nominee.
I imagine that this is a fairly accurate representation of the nationwide name ID for these candidates, although I would think Frist would be recognized at a higher rate than Allen.

Make no mistake, however, ladies and gents, we have a lot of work in front of us to overcome the national profile that Rudy and McCain already have.