Monday, February 13, 2006

CPAC Straw Poll Results

Numbers are in from the CPAC Straw Poll, and the results are mixed. The raw data is here:
  • George Allen - 22%
  • John McCain - 20%
  • Rudy Giuliani - 12%
  • Condi Rice - 10%
  • Bill Frist - 6%
  • Tom Tancredo - 5%
  • MITT ROMNEY - 5%
  • Rick Santorum - 3%
  • George Pataki - 3%
  • Undecided - 4%
We can look at this a number of ways. First and foremost, there is no favorite for the nomination, even among conservatives. Secondly, Allen, Frist and Tancredo spoke at CPAC. Also, 81% of the respondents were between 18 and 21, so the results are misleading at best. The other misleading factor, in my opinion is that Frist, Tancredo, Santorum and Pataki are not viable candidates, and Rice won't run. This race, at this point is Allen-Giuliani-McCain-Romney.
This poll means nothing, other than Mitt scores between Tancredo and Santorum - both hardcore conservatives. So the Governor has some conservative bona fides, and as he becomes more public, he will emerge from both the conservative and moderate packs.